Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000018 0.000020 0.000022 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000037
2025-03-23 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050
2025-03-30 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000045 0.000064
2025-04-06 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000051 0.000079
2025-04-13 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000025 0.000036 0.000056 0.000096
2025-04-20 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000038 0.000062 0.000117
2025-04-27 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000040 0.000069 0.000141
2025-05-04 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000041 0.000075 0.000167
2025-05-11 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000043 0.000083 0.000202
2025-05-18 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000045 0.000092 0.000251
2025-05-25 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000048 0.000105 0.000321
2025-06-01 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000025 0.000049 0.000113 0.000384
2025-06-08 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000050 0.000121 0.000459
2025-06-15 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000052 0.000133 0.000577
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000025 0.000054 0.000147 0.000739
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000055 0.000159 0.000915
2025-07-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000056 0.000170 0.001125
2025-07-13 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000058 0.000186 0.001472
2025-07-20 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000060 0.000204 0.001954
2025-07-27 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000061 0.000218 0.002506
2025-08-03 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000063 0.000240 0.003503
2025-08-10 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000066 0.000271 0.005380
2025-08-17 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000070 0.000314 0.009497